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131.
The design of a drainage system for a roofing slate quarry was implemented by the enhancement of discharge peak estimation, and the uncertainty inevitably associated with the engineering model was reduced.

The development of a topographical, geological, and vegetation cover database developed from a Geographical Information System (GIS) allowed for the definition of the drainage network for a hydraulic system, along with the calculation of the runoff coefficient. This is applied to the digital model of accumulated flow (DMF) as a weight correction coefficient, using a matrix-based model at 5×5 m resolution. The new digital model of corrected accumulated flow (DMCF) is the result of combining the thematic maps with the map of slope <3%, which was previously created from the slope model. It is demonstrated that this new model allows to apply the “Rational Method” on cartographic units defined by the GIS.

The DMCF is compared with other traditional applications of the Rational Method based on the calculation of the discharge peak considering: (1) the drainage basin as a single watershed or (2) defining an average runoff coefficient in each sub-watershed. Both approaches have bigger discharge peaks than those obtained by the DMCF since the slope, lithology, and vegetation cover have average values, and the runoff coefficient is poorly defined, increasing the uncertainty in the discharge peak.  相似文献   

132.
The present study is carried out to examine the performance of a regional atmospheric model in forecasting tropical cyclones over the Bay of Bengal and its sensitivity to horizontal resolution. Two cyclones, which formed over the Bay of Bengal during the years 1995 and 1997, are simulated using a regional weather prediction model with two horizontal resolutions of 165 km and 55 km. The model is found to perform reasonably well towards simulation of the storms. The structure, intensity and track of the cyclones are found to be better simulated by finer resolution of the model as compared to the coarse resolution. Rainfall amount and its distribution are also found to be sensitive to the model horizontal resolution. Other important fields, viz., vertical velocity, horizontal divergence and horizontal moisture flux are also found to be sensitive to model horizontal resolution and are better simulated by the model with finer horizontal grids.  相似文献   
133.
The characteristic features of the marine boundary layer (MBL) over the Bay of Bengal during the southwest monsoon and the factors influencing it are investigated. The Bay of Bengal and Monsoon Experiment (BOBMEX) carried out during July–August 1999 is the first observational experiment under the Indian Climate Research Programme (ICRP). A very high-resolution data in the vertical was obtained during this experiment, which was used to study the MBL characteristics off the east coast of India in the north and south Bay of Bengal. Spells of active and suppressed convection over the Bay were observed, of which, three representative convective episodes were considered for the study. For this purpose a one-dimensional multi-level PBL model with a TKE-ε closure scheme was used. The soundings, viz., the vertical profiles of temperature, humidity, zonal and meridional component of wind, obtained onboard ORV Sagar Kanya and from coastal stations along the east coast are used for the study. The temporal evolution of turbulent kinetic energy, marine boundary layer height (MBLH), sensible and latent heat fluxes and drag coefficient of momentum are simulated for different epochs of monsoon and monsoon depressions during BOBMEX-99.The model also generates the vertical profiles of potential temperature, specific humidity, zonal and meridional wind. These simulated values compared reasonably well with the observations available from BOBMEX.  相似文献   
134.
 The kinetics of the dehydroxylation of chrysotile was followed in situ at high temperature using real-time conventional and synchrotron powder diffraction (XRPD). This is the first time kinetics parameters have been calculated for the dehydroxylation of chrysotile. The value of the order of the reaction mechanism calculated using the Avrami model indicates that the rate-limiting step of the reaction is a one-dimensional diffusion with an instantaneous nucleation or a deceleratory rate of nucleation of the reaction product. Hence, the rate-limiting step is the one-dimensional diffusion of the water molecules formed in the interlayer region by direct condensation of two hydrogen atoms and an oxygen atom. The calculated apparent activation energy of the reaction in the temperature range 620–750 °C is 184 kJ mol−1. The diffusion path is along the axis of the fibrils forming the fibers. The amorphous or short-range ordered dehydroxylate of chrysotile is extremely unstable because forsterite readily nucleates in the Mg-rich regions. Moreover, it is less stable than the dehydroxylate of kaolinite, the so-called metakaolinite, which forms mullite at about 950 °C. This difference is interpreted in terms of the different nature of the two ions Mg2+ and Al3+ and their function as glass modifier and glass-forming ion, respectively. Received: 10 April 2002 / Accepted: 7 January 2003 Acknowledgements This work is part of a COFIN project (04 Scienze della Terra, NR 17, 2000) supported by MURST. Dr Dapiaggi is kindly acknowledged for help during the data collection at the Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra, University of Milan.  相似文献   
135.
The rate of the reversible homogeneous disproportionation of polysulfides was studied by following the optical absorbance of polysulfide solutions in a continuous plug flow reactor equipped with an on-line photometric detector. In order to avoid heterogeneous slow reactions involving sulfur colloids or precipitate, the reaction was initiated by an abrupt pH change from an undersaturated solution containing predominantly tetrasulfide species to a pH where pentasulfide is the dominant species. The disproportionation was found to follow first order reversible reaction dynamics. At environmentally relevant conditions the characteristic time of the disproportionation reaction is of the order of 10 s. This characteristic time implies that necessary conditions for speciation of the different polysulfide species by chromatography or another separation and subsequent quantification scheme should be of the order of 1 s.  相似文献   
136.
热带气旋路径预报的MCE客观综合决策方法研究   总被引:3,自引:2,他引:3       下载免费PDF全文
杨元琴 《气象》2003,29(5):3-8
采用MCE(Multi-Criteria Evaluation)方法,在台风路径客观综合预报方法研究与业务实验中,根据多家预报的主要结果进行综合评估分析,提出最佳客观综合预报结果以供决策者及预报员参照。取得初步结果:(1)对9711号台风进行了MCE客观综合决策方法的预报试验。结果表明,对于9711号台风生命史中几个关键点的预报,即登陆预报、台风转向北上预报及出海转向预报等以及全程预报,MCE方法取得较佳预报结果。(2)在综合平台上对近10年的疑难路径台风和2000年全年台风进行了MCE方法试验及多种预报结论的对比分析研究。MCE方法预报误差检验结果较好。(3)所提出的模拟预报员预报思维的联想智能模拟方法,以及可操作综合预警平台,为台风路径预报,包括分析、学习、回忆、对比、推理、联想直到形成综合预报结论提供了一个十分有用的工具。(4)讨论的自反馈函数对形成和推演多规则评估决策有一定的实用性。  相似文献   
137.
我国能源消费结构变化与气候特征   总被引:9,自引:1,他引:9       下载免费PDF全文
文章利用多项式法将气候耗能量从能源消费总量中分离出来,用统计分析的方法探讨了气候耗能量与气候因子之间的关系及其变化。研究表明:从20世纪50年代到80年代初期,旱涝灾害是影响我国气候耗能量的主要气候因子,它们之间存在显著的线性相关关系,随着经济的发展和人民生活水平的提高,旱涝灾害对气候耗能量的影响逐渐减弱,气温对气候耗能量的影响日趋显著,目前正处于过渡时期。  相似文献   
138.
本文用-正压模式,采用滞后平均法(LAF)对2000年热带气旋进行路径集合预报试验,并与基于热带气旋初始结构扰动的集合预报方法进行了比较分析,结果表明LAF方法对热带气旋路径预报具有较好的改进作用。但LAF的集合预报效果受模式本身误差的影响,在完美模式的假设下,LAF集合预报相对于控制试验的技巧水平20~40%。  相似文献   
139.
钟元  胡波 《热带气象学报》2003,19(2):147-156
提出一个综合评估环境场影响的热带气旋路径客观相似预报模式。模式应用热带气旋参数、初始和未来环境场,构造客观的相似判据。通过定义非线性的相似指数综合评估历史热带气旋样本在多元判据下的相似程度,从而找到相似样本。应用相似样本的历史路径进行坐标变换和相似指数的权重综合,得到预报路径。模式检验和预报试验表明该模式具有预报技巧。  相似文献   
140.
柳林  李娜  常平  张国胜 《山东气象》2003,23(4):12-14
通过对冀东南、鲁西北一次区域性大暴雨的分析表明:除有利的大尺度环流背景以外,超低空急流是大暴雨不稳定能量和水汽的主要输送者,高能区不稳定能量释放,产生大暴雨所需的强烈上升运动。暴雨落区与超低空急流前部最大风速切变区的位置密切相关。  相似文献   
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